Tag Archive: sinking islands


Kiribati beach 2018The gloom and doom from those who oft say, we should all use less, and much more we should pay.  For the gas that is rare, .04 of the air.  It feeds all the plants, with greening enhanced, and the sea that has rose to just cover my toes.  “Is a crisis, a crime, we pay penance and time”.  I call it unfair, and call out the big scare. For there are things that are real on this earth all around, so treasure the gifts and the beauty abound.  Kiribati in the sea, still an Island here with, above the high waves, it’s sinking a myth!

I personally believe that Kiribati should be in the news and promoted for the paradise that it is.  The proud people of the Islands should not be represented as victims in this world.  Unable to look after themselves, and in need of help from “grown up nations”.

I say, support them in the right way. For those with a bit of an adventurist spirit, visit the damn place!  Fishing, surfing, and diving.  History, and some great Pacific Island culture.  Just have a look at  Traveller.com for an overview of the Islands.

It is noted that the current Prime Minister does not appear to be so “victimised” about climate change. Especially after having a go at film maker Matthieu Rytz and his film about the so called “sinking Island” and all of the “climate refugees”.   See Radio NZ  for the full story.  Seems Matthieu was a little loose with the truth and was a little dis-respectful of the Islanders.

Ps. It also appears the film has not made much of an impact either with yawning reviews, and FB support in the “TENS” of people.

Anyway. How’s that sea level rise thing going atm?

Kiribati July 2018

It seems the rise in sea level around Kiribati is quite meaningless with a mere 66mm increase over nearly 70 years.  With an R² of 0.02 over the last 42 years, and only 0.04 over the last 60 years I would suggest this is statistically insignificant.   Less than 1mm per year over the entire record.

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For more on Kiribati see Kiribati Tourism.

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IMG_9748.CR2Kiribati has tide gauge data going back to the 1940’s.  Compliments from PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level) based in Liverpool England.  The two Canton Island gauges in Kiribati run from 1949 to 2007. They also overlap for 2 years, giving a decent comparison, and that difference is fairly consistent over the overlapping time period to produce a single record.

Tide Gauge 575 = 1949 to 1974

Tide Gauge 1329 = 1972 to 2007

I have spliced the two records, adjusting one by the average monthly difference, to produce a long record.

Kiribati Canton Island Sea Level 1949 to 2007

Now, there are not many tide gauges in the world that do not have some spurious readings, but over a long enough record you should be able to see a decent trend, if there is one.  In this case, the less than half a mm per year is hardly anything to panic over.

Splicing in Kiribati’s other tide gauge data to complete the record for gaps and to bring it up to date, results in a 1.52mm per year sea level rise over Kiribati’s recorded tide gauge history (1949 to 2012).

Kiribati Spliced Sea Level 1949 to 2012

This is also consistent with the 1371 and 1804 Kiribati combined tide gauges (1974 to 2012). The 1804 gauge is still in use.

This rate of sea level rise is almost exactly what we have seen in tide gauge records for 200 years, long before any C02 influence, and certainly the coral Islands can cope exceptionally well with this rate of rise.

Probably the most knowledgeable person on the planet regarding ocean level would have to be Dr Nils-Axel Morner. So, what does he have to say?

The sun is starting to set on the doomsayers of “climate change”.

JTF62